Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.005231 0.005789 0.006393 0.007099 0.007902 0.008791 0.009853
2025-07-13 0.004313 0.005075 0.005966 0.007092 0.008489 0.010182 0.012411
2025-07-20 0.003875 0.004749 0.005824 0.007259 0.009152 0.011602 0.015072
2025-07-27 0.003472 0.004389 0.005561 0.007196 0.009459 0.012547 0.017198
2025-08-03 0.003181 0.004128 0.005380 0.007191 0.009809 0.013555 0.019519
2025-08-10 0.002920 0.003874 0.005171 0.007110 0.010017 0.014357 0.021624
2025-08-17 0.002740 0.003711 0.005066 0.007153 0.010397 0.015443 0.024320
2025-08-24 0.002550 0.003515 0.004893 0.007071 0.010564 0.016200 0.026569
2025-08-31 0.002349 0.003286 0.004650 0.006855 0.010487 0.016537 0.028117
2025-09-07 0.002222 0.003156 0.004542 0.006837 0.010724 0.017421 0.030799
2025-09-14 0.002164 0.003124 0.004580 0.007052 0.011371 0.019097 0.035292
2025-09-21 0.002035 0.002974 0.004420 0.006924 0.011402 0.019649 0.037602
2025-09-28 0.001908 0.002823 0.004256 0.006786 0.011425 0.020232 0.040197
2025-10-05 0.001816 0.002724 0.004170 0.006779 0.011694 0.021344 0.044228
2025-10-12 0.001765 0.002685 0.004179 0.006937 0.012289 0.023196 0.050410
2025-10-19 0.001679 0.002583 0.004074 0.006877 0.012448 0.024154 0.054623
2025-10-26 0.001609 0.002504 0.004003 0.006874 0.012718 0.025388 0.059856
2025-11-02 0.001534 0.002411 0.003898 0.006796 0.012824 0.026268 0.064343
2025-11-09 0.001483 0.002355 0.003857 0.006838 0.013186 0.027796 0.071105
2025-11-16 0.001417 0.002272 0.003761 0.006760 0.013279 0.028689 0.076211
2025-11-23 0.001339 0.002161 0.003607 0.006555 0.013066 0.028793 0.078862
2025-11-30 0.001291 0.002103 0.003547 0.006538 0.013279 0.030016 0.085576
2025-12-07 0.001276 0.002101 0.003593 0.006742 0.014029 0.032786 0.098591